Model·Live
NFL Draft ROI · 2022–2025
A two-part hurdle model of draft value: forecast DrAV by pick, the chance a pick amounts to nothing, and which teams beat expectation.
1/5Picks that finish at zero DrAV2026·07·22
Each note has its workings. Where it makes sense, the workings become tools — interactive indices and calculators, the same engines used in the case studies.
A two-part hurdle model of draft value: forecast DrAV by pick, the chance a pick amounts to nothing, and which teams beat expectation.
Run an indie skincare brand across 500 simulated days — supply chain, paid channels, wholesale — and maximize enterprise value.
Retail price versus reconstructed unit formula cost across 38 face-oil products. Boutique and mass-market tiers, log–log axes, row-level inspection.
On-Field Value across McShay, PFF, Brugler, and NGS — team and positional draft value, market premium vs. discount, and combined source rankings.